Thursday, February 29, 2024

Could Trump Go 91-0 In His Criminal Cases?

When the U.S. Supreme Court announced it would hear defeated, former President Donald Trump's appeal of the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals unanimous ruling that he does not have presidential immunity concerning the January 6th case, it made me think that there is a chance that he could go 91-0 against the criminal charges against him in both federal and state court. 

I'm not suggesting that Trump will necessarily be acquitted. But rather these cases will either never go to trial, or the case will be dismissed before a verdict is heard. 

After all, the Supreme Court's decision has caused considerable consternation. Even if the Court upholds the D.C. Circuit Court's decision, it will delay the start of the trial until at least September. If Trump returns to the White House, the case will evaporate as fast as what's left of our democracy

The other federal case against Trump concerns the top secret classified documents in the Southern District of Florida. While the January 6th might eventually go to trial, if Judge Aileen Cannon has her way, Special Counsel Jack Smith will never present his opening arguments before the November election. At this rate, he might get to make his case on February 30th. 

As for the Georgia case, while several of the defendants have plead guilty, Fulton County DA Fani Willis' affair with special prosecutor Nathan Wade may torpedo the case. While the facts of the case establish Trump was leading a conspiracy to overturn the 2020 Georgia election, if it can be established that Willis and Wade lied about when their affair began then Willis' office could be disqualified from pursuing the case. If this comes to pass, then don't expect anyone else in Georgia to pick up where she left off. 

This leaves Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg's 34-count indictment against Trump for falsifying business records as the only criminal proceeding likely to go to trial and possibly render a verdict before election day. Jury selection is scheduled to commence on March 25th. If convicted, Trump could face up to four years in prison. Of course, there is no guarantee Trump will be convicted and if he is there will be a prolonged appeal in which he could ultimately prevail.

But if Trump is convicted more than half of all swing-voters have indicated they will not give him their vote. So even if the New York criminal case does go to trial, Trump and his attorneys have every incentive to do everything in their power to delay, delay, delay and they could succeed. 

Then again if Trump goes to the Big House in New York that might not stop America deciding to return him to the White House. In which case, it would be an indictment of America itself and we would deserve everything that is coming to us.

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