Thursday, June 8, 2017

The Tories Will Probably Survive in The U.K., But Will Theresa May?

I am watching the UK election results on BBC World. As of this moment, here are the standings:

Conservatives - 292
Labour - 250
Scottish National Party - 34
Liberal Democrats  - 11
Democratic Unionist Party - 10

If these margins hold, the Tories will fall short of a majority government, but with the support of the DUP will likely form a minority or coalition government. Helping matters is the Tories' increased strength in Scotland with the popularity of Ruth Davidson at the expense of the SNP with longtime leader Alex Salmond falling in defeat.

But if the Tories are to continue to govern, it is very likely Theresa May will move out of 10 Downing Street. When May called the snap election back in April I thought she was taking a risk she might regret. Yes she had a 20 point lead in the polls and wanted to proceed with Brexit from a position of strength. But she repeatedly said there would be no early election only to have a vote three years early. I concluded, "Theresa May is counting on boredom. The next seven weeks might turn out to be the most exciting of her life and for all the wrong reasons."

Much of this excitement was of May's own making - the dementia tax, an unwillingness to talk to voters. Of course, the terrorist attacks in Manchester and London were of ISIS' making, but her government's response didn't inspire much confidence either.

Even if he doesn't become Prime Minister, Jeremy Corbyn is the most powerful man in the U.K. for the moment The Labour Party that didn't want him is now kissing his ring. Of course, Corbyn is still a loon who has never met a terrorist whose murderous acts he couldn't blame on Britain, America or Israel.

Thus it is incumbent upon the Tories to pick a leader who is not afraid to stick up for British values and is not afraid to talk to the people. Is Boris Johnson's ship sailing in on The Thames? Whoever becomes the captain of the Tory ship needs to be able to keep Britain afloat.









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