Steve Bannon is the latest to exit the Trump White House. In just under seven months, we have seen an exodus of Michael Flynn, Sean Spicer, Reince Priebus and now Bannon not to mention Anthony Scaramucci's 10-day stint. No doubt there will be more to come in the next seven months.
But the one constant is Donald Trump. Honestly, it doesn't matter who comes and who goes. So long as Trump is in the White House we will have chaos instability and irrationality.
There are six ways Trump can leave the White House - resignation, impeachment, the 25th Amendment, incapacity, death or losing the election.
Trump ain't quitting. Being President means more than life itself and he will never admit defeat. Quitting will be the ultimate expression of surrender.
Trump ain't getting impeached, certainly not with a Republican Congress. Even if the Democrats were to win the 2018 mid-terms, impeachment is far from certain.
Trump ain't getting ousted by the 25th Amendment. His supporters will view it as a coup and we would see a thousand Charlottesvilles. It would be a prelude to a second civil war.
It also ain't likely Trump will be incapacitated by illness or death. No doubt there are those who wish for the latter at the point of a gun. I do not. Aside from being immoral, it too would be a prelude to civil war.
The only plausible way for Trump to leave the White House is if he is defeated at the polls in 2020. For a lot of people three years and change is an eternity. But perhaps time can be an ally. Right now there are a lot of people who would not only run through a wall for Trump, but build a new one in its place. The only way to convince Trump supporters to abandon them is to convince them that Trump can't bring them so much winning.
Of course, it won't be easy. Incumbency has enormous advantages. Even if Trump gets a viable challenger in the 2020 GOP primaries, Trump has broken so many rules of politics he might very well overcome obstacles that plagued the likes of Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush. The key for Democrats is to nominate someone, man or woman, who can talk to people and not at them. This is far from a certain proposition.
But this is the system we have and if the people want Trump to leave the White House then they will work with ballots, not bullets or bayonets.
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