No analogy is perfect, but when I learned of the assassination of Andrei Karlov, Russia's Ambassador to Turkey and the public and dramatic manner in which it was done I could not help but think of the assassination of the Archduke Franz Ferdinand & his wife more than a century ago which began World War One.
Naturally, it remains to be seen if this will come to pass, but I'm not expecting the Russians to take kindly to one of their diplomats being murdered and the killer essentially dancing over body with his proclamation, "Allahu Akbar!!! We die in Aleppo, you die here!!!" The Russians certainly won't be blaming an Internet video.
Even if no World War results nothing good is bound to come of it. The Russians (with their Iranian and Syrian allies) are every bit as brutal as ISIS and al-Qaeda. When you combine Obama's abdication of The Middle East and Trump's embrace of the Russians there is bound to be more blood shed in 2017 and beyond.
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