What If The Pollsters Are Wrong About Hillary's Lead Over Trump?

The vast majority of polls taken over the past week have Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump between 4 to 12 points.


However, two polls show a statistical dead heat between the two. According to the Investors Business Daily/TIPP poll, Hillary only leads Trump by a tenth of one percent (41.2% to 41.1%). Meanwhile, a L.A. Times/USC poll has Hillary leading Trump by 1.3% (45.1% to 43.8%).


Now it's quite possible that these two polls are statistical outliers and Hillary is well on her way to a landslide victory in 15 days.


But, on the other hand, maybe these folks have it right and things are much closer than we think. IBD/TIPP has an outstanding reputation for getting it right. Could it be that people are uncomfortable identifying themselves as Trump supporters?


Now American pollsters have a far better reputation than British pollsters which badly misread the results of the 2015 general election and the Brexit vote.


I just have a funny feeling that with a majority of the polls showing Hillary with a convincing lead that the anti-Trump forces are letting their guard down.


Say what you will about Trump's supporters. Some of them may be deplorable, but they are nothing if not dependable. Trump's supporters are far more loyal than Hillary's. No doubt there are a lot of people motivated to vote against Trump. If Trump is leading in Texas by only three or four points would indicate fertile ground for Hillary.


Then again if 2016 has taught us anything is that nothing is as it seems.