Yesterday, President Trump proclaimed that he had achieved "regime change" in Iran.
We have, really, regime change. This is a change in the regime, because the leaders are all very different than the ones that we started off with.
Tell that to the people of Iran.
Oh, there might be some new faces, but the regime is exactly as it was before.
In which case, Trump's "excursion" into Iran is as exactly as I had feared before military action was taken:
Yet let us suppose there is military action in Iran. Who can say it would be any different than what occurred in Venezuela earlier this year where they extracted Nicolas Maduro only to install his vice-president as his replacement? Meet the new Ayatollah. Same as the old Ayatollah.
Frankly, I'm not putting much stock in his latest statement that he will "unleash hell" if Iran does not agree to his deal. Trump made an ultimatum on the Strait of Hormuz last week and didn't even wait out his own deadline before he folded.
Trump is looking for a deal, any deal. The effect of that deal is that the Iranian regime will be stronger than ever. The consequence of this is that the Iranian people will continue to be repressed, Israel will still need to worry about a nuclear Iran and the U.S. (Trump in particular) will be seen as a pushover who talks tough but carries a very little stick.
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