The 10% tariff takes effect on February 1st with an increase to 25% on June 1st.
Given how frequently Trump has arbitrarily imposed new tariffs, Denmark and its European allies will stand firm.
In which case, I believe that before the end of the year President Trump will seize Greenland by military force. Not only do I believe that Trump will begin an occupation of Greenland but that it will drop bombs in Copenhagen.
This, of course, would mean the end of NATO and I believe this is precisely what Trump wants. Or should I say what Vladimir Putin wants.
Let us consider several statements.
The first was made by Trump in an interview with the New York Times in which he was asked if there were any limits to his global powers. To which Trump replied, “Yeah, there is one thing. My own morality. My own mind. It’s the only thing that can stop me."
In the context of Greenland, Trump has said, "We are going to do something on Greenland whether they like it or not."
When VP Vance visited Greenland in March 2025, he remarked:
Well, the president said we have to have Greenland. And I think that we do have to be more serious about the security of Greenland. We can't just ignore this place. We can't just ignore the president's desires.
In other words, the destiny of the people of Greenland is based solely on the desires of Donald Trump. In which case, Trump is giving Greenland the E. Jean Carroll treatment.
Now let's consider remarks made by White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller in an interview with Sean Hannity of Fox News concerning Denmark's ability to control Greenland:
To control a territory, you have to be able to defend a territory, improve a territory, inhabit a territory. Denmark has failed at every single one of these tests.
In a previous interview with CNN's Jake Tapper, Miller said, “Nobody’s going to fight the United States militarily over the future of Greenland.”
So, what do these statements tell me?
First, Trump views himself as a dictator along the lines of Putin and China's Xi Jinping accountable only to himself and his own sense of morality. In the words of his Vice-President, that morality centers around his desires. Needless to say, Trump's view of morality diverges a great deal from that of most people. But most people do not have the power he has and the willingness to use it as he sees fit.
Second, Miller does not believe Denmark can militarily defend Greenland nor does he believe anyone will come to its defense. Loathe as I am to agree with Miller, I cannot dispute his assessment. While it is true that Miller has denied that an American military response is necessary, for all intents and purposes there is nothing to stop Trump from launching a military takeover of Greenland outside of his mind and his morality such as they are. While such an attack would spark global outrage, it would also very likely expose NATO as a paper tiger.
However far-fetched you might think a military occupation of Greenland coupled with an attack on Denmark might be, let us keep this in mind. The Trump Administration has seen fit to bomb ships off Venezuela it believes to be shipping drugs and has seen fit to kill survivors. The Trump Administration has seen fit to murder an American citizen protesting ICE's actions in Minneapolis, smear her as a terrorist and launch an investigation against her widow.
If the Trump Administration is prepared to do these things, then what makes anyone think they aren't capable of dropping bombs on Copenhagen in pursuit of taking control of Greenland? Especially if there are no meaningful consequences to be faced for their actions.
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